Saturday, August 26, 2006

A Democratic majority in the House?

That's what political analyst Stuart Rothenberg is predicting. He sees a gain of 15 to 20 seats for the Dems in November - which would give them a House majority.

"To hold the House, Republicans must retain at least a handful of districts that now appear likely to go Democratic, probably by discrediting Democratic challengers and open seat hopefuls. Unlike previous cycles, when the burden was on Democrats to create upsets, the onus is now on the GOP to save at least a handful of seats before Election Day. Therefore, we are raising our estimate of likely Democratic gains from 8-12 seats to 15-20 seats, which would translate to between 218 and 223 seats – and a majority – in the next House."


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