Thursday, September 07, 2006

Florida analysis

The Hotline's John Mercurio has a good analysis of the recent Florida primaries, and what they mean for the rest of the country. Hint: incumbents are safe.

It's a good piece, but PB disagrees with some of what Mercurio says. The situation here in Florida is unlike anything else in the country. We have a wildly popular moderate/conservative governor in Jeb Bush, who is virtually identical to GOP candidate for governor Charlie Crist, with the exception being that Crist is even more centrist on most issues. FL voters won't want to change that. And the situation with Bill Nelson is the same. Nelson is a popular moderate who is facing a far-right Republican who has really stumbled during her campaign. Florida is not a good place to look at when predicting what will happen nationally.


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